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Bozori naft dar jahon

Bozori naft. Dar mohi oktyabri soli 2018 boloravii narkhi naft metavonad idoma yofta, arzishi on dar sathi 85 dollar baroi yak barrelro tashkil dihad, ki in pesh az hama az ehtimoliyati nabarobari dar bozori ashyoi khom az hisobi nadoshtani imkoniyati ziyod namudani istikhroji naft az jonibi yak qator kishvarho va jori shudani tahrimho nisbat ba Eron dar mohi noyabr vobastagi dorad.

Dar tamoyuli boloravii narkhi naft tasiri afzoishi zakhirahoi ashyoi khom dar IMA ba nazar namerasad. Tibqi malumoti Rayosati ittilooti energetikii Vazorati energetikai IMA zakhirahoi naft dar kishvar dar hajmi 1,9 mln. barrel ziyod shuda, ba 396 mln. barrel rasid. Hol on ki tahlilgaron kohishyobii zakhirahoro dar hajmi 1,28 mln. barrel va ba 392,82 mln. barrel barobar shudani onro intizor budand.

bozoti-neftYAke az omilhoe, ki ba boloravii narkhi nafti navi «Brent» musoidat menamoyad, in kohishyobii tahvili naft az Eron dar payomadi tahrimhoi jorinamudai IMA va kohishyobii istikhroj dar Venesuela ba hisob meravad. Sodiroti naft az Eron besh az 1 mln. barrel dar yak shabonaruz kohish yoftaast.

Gayr az in, ba boloravii narkh qarori qabulnamudai davlathoi azoi OPEK oid ba ziyod nakardani hajmi istikhroji naft tasir merasonad. Bo nazardoshti talaboti IMA va Hitoy ba naft peshguii narkhi nafti navi «Brent» dar durnamoi miyonamuhlat dar doirai 90-100 dollar baroi yak barel az voqeiyat dur nest.

Boyad qayd kard, ki nafti istikhrojshuda dar Federatsiyai Rossiya dar mohi sentyabr az uhdadorii dar nazdi OPEK+ doshtai in kishvar 400 hazor barrel ziyod meboshad. Ilova bar in Arabistoni Saudi baroi jubron namudani kohishyobii istehsoli naft dar Eron binobar tahrimhoi peshbininamudai IMA dar mohhoi sentyabr va oktyabr ziyod namudani istikhroji naftro dar hajmi 200-300 hazor barrel dar yak shabonaruz ba naqsha giriftaast.

Narkhi naft dar jahon dar 100 soli okhir. Markai WTI bo dollari IMA
Narkhi neft dar jahon dar 100 soli okhir. Markai WTI bo dollari IMA

OPEK metavonad ba kohish dodani istikhroj bargardad. Intizori meravad, ki dar bozor barziyodii peshnihodi naft ba miyon oyad, ki in ba yaku yakbora poyon raftani narkhho ovarda merasonad. Dar chunin holat OPEK+ minbad niz bo nazardoshti tagyiryobii vazi bozor chorahoi zaruri meandeshad.

Agentii reytingi baynalmilalii «Moody’s» narkhi naftro dar jahon dar soli 2018 dar sathi 72 dollari IMA va dar soli 2019-um 71 dollar baroi yak barrel peshgui menamoyad.

Tibqi malumoti Agenti dar durnamoi darozmuhlat (solhoi 2020-2022) narkhi naft nisbat  ba narkhhoi solhoi jori kohish yofta, dar doirai 60-65 dollar baroi yak barrel qaror khohad girift.

Boyad qayd kard, ki tibqi peshguihoi OPEK va Agentii IMA oid ba energetika talaboti naft dar jahon dar soli 2019 afzoish yofta, dar solhoi 2018-2019 dar hajmi to 1,5 mln. barrelro dar yak ruz tashkil hohad dod.

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